6,000th System, Not Dead Yet

“Well you’re bigger, tougher, meaner, rougher. Dirtier and uglier and sneakier and trickier,
You wanna shoot me with a gun, cut me with a knife.
Take your bare hands baby rip out my eyes. You knocked me to the floor then you bit me in the neck.
Well, hit me again cause I’m not dead yet.”
– Styx, “Not Dead Yet”

11.6.yc119 J123746 < D-C00206 < D-R00021

((OOC: Sorry for the long delay between updates. It’s summer time now, at last, and hopefully that means real life commitments will ease up and give me some time to post a little more often. I’m going go for at least once a month updates, if nothing else.))

“Katia, that makes your six-thousandth system explored”, Aura stated in her monotone voice then paused. “and you are not dead yet.”

I raised an eyebrow at Chester, my slaver hound, who only looked at me with indifferent eyes, while his head rest between his massive paws spread out in front of him laying down on the cabin floor. I continued to stare, which only provoked him to raise his head, with what seemed like a smile on his face, until he realized there was no treat involved from my look.

Dumbfounded, I replied, “Aura, are you developing a sense of humor?”

“Developing would imply growth, evolving, a period of time to study and become better at a given task.” Aura continued in her iterative explanation. “I assure you, I need no such process.”

I chuckled, mostly to myself, even though Chester cocked his head, dropping his jaw into a pant, in anticipation that a treat was forthcoming.

“Katia? I fail to see the humor in your reaction.”

“Exactly!” I proclaimed. “Which tells me all I need to know.”

“Katia, if I may…” Aura persisisted.

“No, you may not.” I grinned as I knew if I didn’t stop her now, she would never cease to explain. “Six-thousandth system, huh? I guess this does call for a celebration.”

Now it was Chester’s turn to raise an eyebrow my way as I reached in a drawer behind me and tossed him treat.

“Congratulations Chester, we’re not dead yet.”


Sailing Dangerous Seas: yc118

“Once human beings realize something can be done, they’re not satisfied until they’ve done it.” – Frank Herbert, Author

31.12.yc118 J102407 < C-C00086 Constellation < C-R00010 Region

#MyEVEStory by Rixx Javix

To be called a Stargazer by my homeworld, Achura (Saisio III)… that would be the pinnacle of all that I could achieve. I’m not one for stereotypes, they generalize far too much and individualization is lost. Yet, I can’t deny how typical I am of my kind. At least if you believe all that you learn about the Achur from the widely available public resources.

It is true: I am reclusive. I am an introvert. I have little interest in material things. I am deeply spiritual. I do desire to unlock the secrets of New Eden. I am one of those Achur pilots you’ve heard about that has left the confines of our homeworld and have set sail for the stars.

For those that don’t know me or my mission, you can learn more from one of those public resources. I’m currently in Phase III of my mission, which is to visit every system in New Eden. Phase I, Empire Space, began on December 1st, yc111 (2009) and was completed on July 4th, yc116 (2014). Phase II, Null Sec began on July 9th, yc116 (2014) and was completed on November 26th, yc117 (2015).

J104632 VII

On January 3rd, yc118 (2016), I began Phase III, to explore all of wormhole Space (W-Space). My first stop was Thera, where I was welcomed by my corp, Signal Cartel, and after the celebrations, I set sail to continue my main mission. I spent the first few months based out of Thera. It was only after a week of exploring W-Space from Thera, that I encountered my first duplicate system, a system I had already visited. After encountering more and more duplicate systems over the next couple of months, I decided it was time to wander. I spent maybe a month wandering from hole to hole, before settling into a class 5 wormhole that appeared to not be lived in that contained a class 6 static connection. I wanted to focus on class 6 wormholes and see how many I could find based out of one system. I spent about 6 months, between that wormhole, a little more wandering, and then settling into another class 5 with a class 6 connection. Somewhere during that time, I changed out ships as well, from my Tengu to a Raptor, in order to take advantage of the small wormhole connection types. The time was well worth it as I did find 90 out of the 118 class 6 wormholes, but it was very slow going.

Too slow, really. As a comparison, you can see I discovered a total of 529 wormhole systems during yc118. Compared to my progress from the prior two years in

J161119 VI, Moon 1, Pioneer

K-Space, which was over 2,000 systems per year for yc116 and yc117, I’m now exploring at a quarter of the speed that I was before. With there being 2,604 wormhole systems that we know of, this journey at this pace will take another 4 years and that’s not taking into account the difficulty to find the systems I need in a timely manner. As more and more systems are found, the hay stack grows, and the needle becomes more difficult to find.

As I let that sink in, but before I could spiral down the hole to where those thoughts were leading me, Chester nudged me in the back. Chester, the slaver hound gift that Mynxee gave me when I visited Thera, before I departed for this phase of my journey. I named him after my Grandfather and he, like my Grandfather, have been an inspiration to me to keep going. There really couldn’t have been a better gift, because at times when I’ve sailed too close to the abyss and think my mind is lost, Chester is there… encouraging me… “my little Stargazer.”

Jester’s Trek by Rixx Javix

Project “W” Second Jump Results

“Knowledge is the death of research” – Walther Hermann Nernst, Chemist

12.04.yc118 J163408 < E-C00264 < Region E-R00026

Rather than lead you through the data analysis of Phase II, let’s cut to the chase and reveal the results.

The null hypothesis: Based on region, known wormhole types are randomly connecting to other regions of space within the known expected distribution by type to the destination region using a significance level of 0.05.

Conclusion based on Phase II data: Since the p-values are greater than the significance level of 0.05, we accept the null hypothesis. The observed distribution is from the same population as the expected distribution.

TLDR: Known wormhole connections are equally random.

Phase II

Project Coordinator: Katia Sae
Project Liaison: Merkato Cesaille
Technical Lead: David Louis
Project Specialist: Ashlar Maidstone, Soul Darkshade
Research Team: Forcha Alendare, Alek Azam, Lucas Ballard, Triffton Ambraelle, enkidu nagata, Sanibel, Lucas Ballard, Mushroom Greene, Theo Fugger, Caleb Wolfram, Akatsuki Hikage, Pileto, Mako Koskanaiken, Earthling Jaer, Vladimir Gengodov, Gorgan Fullsail, Caille Sinclair, Jen Outamon

Read on if you’re interested in some of the details. I’ll specifically target our exceptions from Phase I.

Presentations

Check out these post for more information about Project “W”, how it came about, and the Phase I results.

Get on with it!

From September to the end of November yc118 (2016), there were a total of 15,305 connections observed. From that data set, I used the known connection types for the analysis which gave me a total of 4,902 connections to analyze. Compared to the 300 connections from Phase I, we increased our sample size by a factor of 16.34. With this data set, we were able to meet the following conditions of the Chi-square Goodness of Fit test as follows:

  • Sampling method is simple random sampling. Our observed connections are equally likely to occur in our expected destination population (Regions). Passed.
  • Variable under study (connection type) is categorical (Regions). Passed.
  • The expected value of the number of sample connections in each level of the variable is at least 5. Passed.

From Phase I, our anomalies concerned High Sec, specifically the Genesis and Molden Heath regions, and Class 5 wormholes, specifically region E-R00024. Let’s compare them.

highsec

Phase I High Sec

highsecii

Phase II High Sec

As you can see, our High Sec observations by region went from a range of 0 to 9 to a range of our minimum of 5 to 120.

Class 5 Phase I

Class 5 Phase I

Class 5 Phase II

Class 5 Phase II

High Sec by Chi-sq Phase I

High Sec by Chi-sq Phase I

High Sec by Chi-sq Phase II

High Sec by Chi-sq Phase II

Class 5 by Chi-sq Phase I

Class 5 by Chi-sq Phase I

Class 5 by Chi-sq Phase II

Class 5 by Chi-sq Phase II

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Our Class 5 observations by region went from a range of 0 to 7 to a range of 5 to 50.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Comparing our Chi-square ranking, you can see our anomalies normalized with the other regions with the additional data collected.

Conclusion

That’s really all there is to it. The research is a good lesson that conclusions can’t be drawn until all of the conditions of a given test are met. In this case, our Phase I data we didn’t have the minimum of 5 observations for each region of New Eden. Our Phase II data met that requirement and we were able to show that, at least for known wormhole connections, the destination region is equally random.

Where to from here?

I’m going to look at K162 connections and see if there are any abnormalities to be found there. My thought process is this: A K162 connection should randomly connect to anywhere, be it High Sec, Low Sec, Null Sec, or W-Space. The caveat is this, when reviewing the K162 connection, it will give you an indication of what type of space it leads to, just like our known wormhole connections did from our previous two analysis. I’m going to go with the assumption that until you look at the connection, it could lead anywhere. I’ll call this Phase III and use the same data set we just collected. Stay tuned…

Project “W” First Jump Results

“If we knew what it was we were doing, it would not be called research, would it?” – Albert Einstein, Theoretical Physicist

10.09.yc118 J144135 < D-C00202 < Region D-R00021

Link to the presentation

What is Project “W”

genesis-2I posted an observation I had made back in April yc118 (2016) that started off this research project that I titled Project “W”. There’s no rhyme or reason for the name, I just didn’t know what to call it. You can read more about that following this link. After my blog post, others came forward and said they’ve noticed similar things and offered suggestions as to what could be going on from there is something odd, to that’s the nature of randomness, and the way the brain works looking for patterns. I figured the only way to prove or disprove anything one way or the other would be to collect some data and do some analysis. So, Project “W” was born.

With the help of some of my Signal Cartel corp mates and friends, we spent about 3 months from April yc118 to June, collecting data while navigating wormhole connections. At first I had thought there may be some kind of lightyear limit between systems that could possible explain the oddity, but after Johnny Splunk reviewed the Thera data from the EvE-Scout site, he stated there didn’t seem to be a correlation. So, we proceeded with the data collection without a premise, just mainly interested in seeing if any data anomalies would present themselves.

The Project Team

Before we start the analysis of the data collected, I want to shout out to our Research Team. Special thanks to: Aiken Paru, Mirielle Asaki, Kobura Juraxxis, Mushroom Greene, Mynxee, Dr Zemph, Delaine De’Andre, Mark726, Saile Litestrider, Zecht Reddas, Forcha Alendare, Dorian Reu, Pileto, Jen Outamon, Mason Akiwa, Josca Aldent, Ashlar Maidstone, Stikkem Innagibblies, Dungeon Manager, Ozob Bozo, Andrew Chikatilo, Johnny Splunk.

Link to the presentation

Observed Connections and Doing the Analysis

A total of 663 connections were observed. Of those, 300 connections were via a known wormhole type which means we know what type of space and possible region was on the other side. This will become our dataset for this first pass on the analysis. Because of this measurable dataset, I choose to use the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit test.

The Chi-Square Goodness of Fit test is appropriate if the following conditions are met:

  • Sampling method is simple random sampling. Our observed connections are equally likely to occur in our expected destination population (Regions). Passed.
  • Our variable under study (connection type) is categorical (Regions). Passed.
  • The expected value of the number of sample connections in each level (by Region) of the variable is at least 5. Failed. More data is necessary to fulfill this requirement, however, we’ll still take a look at what we do have, if nothing else, it’s a place to start.

The Special W-Space Class & Regions

As well as excluding the 363 exit wormhole connections and connections where the type wasn’t recorded, I also excluded Class 12 (Thera), Class 13 (Frigate sized accessible systems), and Classes 14 through 18 (Drifter wormholes) because each one are in their own region and therefore, when you find one of those connections, it’s a 100% chance you are landing in that region of space.

Determining the Expected

By knowing the signature type, we know the type of space and possible region where the destination is likely to be. For example, a wormhole connection with a type of E004 will connect to a Class 1 wormhole. We know Class 1 wormholes constitute Regions 1, 2, 3, and A-R00001. We know how many systems are in each region and assuming our hypothesis that your chances of exiting in each region is equally distributed, we can compute the probability. For example, from our chart, you can see when finding a connection that leads to a Class 1 wormhole, there’s a 37.2% chance of exiting in Region 1, 42.7% in Region 2, and so on.

class1expected

The following two slides you can see the K-Space and W-Space expected distributions by region.

Class 1 Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test

class1found

Class 1 results

Let’s get to the analysis. I started with Class 1. Above you saw our expected distribution. To the right, you see that we found a total of 36 connections leading to Class 1 wormholes. If we take that total and apply our expected distribution against it, you see that for Region 1, we found 13 and expected to find 13.37. Region 2 we found 15 and expected 15.39, and so on. Running the data through the Chi-Square calculation we measure the difference between the found and expected, we sum up those values from each region, then compute the p-value or probability which is basically the likelihood that our observation data set comes from the same population as our expected data set. In this case, there’s a 99% probability we have a match.

Since the p-value of 0.99 is greater than the significance level of 0.05 (our measuring stick to find the exceptions), we accept the null hypothesis. The TLDR is connections that lead to Class 1 wormhole’s are equally random to the destination systems. In other words, it appears to be randomly determined.

class1

Please note, however, that we fail to meet one of the 3 conditions for this test to be valid, we only have 1 observation for region A-R00001 and we need a minimum of 5. In this case, the p-value is so strong and the observations are close overall, I feel more data gathering will only strengthen this result.

Seeing this I was both elated and disappointed. Fantastic! I thought, the test works and wormhole space connections are truly random… well dern, I was hoping to see the hypothesis fail, meaning there’s favoritism between regions of space, non-randomness if you will. Well, we have this data, let’s keep looking.

What about the other wormhole classes and known space…

The next two slides you can see the test results for other wormhole and known space regions. The p-value’s vary from 0.17 (which still passes), 0.33, up to 0.89. You can also see we’re missing a fair number of observations in various regions again reiterating we need more data. It’s still interesting to see that there does appear to be enough data to begin seeing connections appear to be random. As I said before, more data is likely to strengthen the results.

Who’s missing… ?

Did you notice there were two areas of space that were missing from the previous two slides? High Sec space and Class 5 wormholes. Take a look at the next slide. They both failed and not borderline either, they failed by a wide margin, High Sec with a p-value of 0.0000000005 and Class 5’s with 0.0003. Since the p-values are less than the significance level of 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis. The TLDR, connections to High Sec and Class 5 wormholes are not equally distributed. It appears to not be random.

class5

highsec

Keep in mind, not enough data to confirm or deny these results, but isn’t it strange that it seems we have enough data for all regions of space to pass them except for these two? We do have observations from almost all of their respective regions, not the minimum, but still a fair sampling.

Wormhole Classes and Known Space by Chi-square ranking

So, who are our offenders? One region is clear as it jumps off the chart, Genesis, but are there others? In order to find out, we’ll sort our result set by their Chi-Square computation. For our class 5’s it was region E-R00024, the shattered wormholes for that class. The next slide shows us that it was Genesis and Molden Heath from High Sec.

class5bychisq

highsecbychisq

What does it mean?

  • Using a connection that leads to High Sec, the expected probability of landing in Genesis was 3%. Based on observed data, Genesis was 20%. (9 out of 45).
  • Using a connection that leads to High Sec, the expected probability of landing in Molden Heath was 1%. Based on observed data, Molden Heath was 9%. (4 out of 45).
  • Together, both Genesis and Molden Heath accounted for 29% of jumps to High Sec.
  • Using a connection that leads to Class 5 wormhole space, the expected probability of landing in E-R00024 was 4%. Based on observed data, E-R00024 was 19%. (4 out of 21).

From a couple of chat sessions I had with my fellow corpmates when I presented these findings, the speculation was that Genesis is a favored region for Signal Cartel, because one of our offices is located in the Zoohen system. Because we don’t have enough data, it is possible this is at play. But what about Molden Heath and E-R00024? What’s special about them? Does that place doubt on the favoritism thoughts of the Genesis region because of Zoohen?

If not Signal Cartel bias, then what? We know Genesis is the home region for the EvE Gate. We know E-R00024 are the shattered wormholes for Class 5’s, but other regions have shattered wormholes. I did find out there is one unique system in the Class 5 shattered’s, J013146, a C5 Magnetar system with 7 shattered planets where we can find sleepers and Talocan Static Gates in the epicenter. Was this system perhaps where the cascade failure began? (Seems I need to find a historian). Is there a connection to the Eve Gate? But then what about Molden Heath? Is there something unique, different, or some observer favoritism going on?

Raw Data for the Anomalies

On this slide I wanted to present the data for the failed regions. I highlighted some commonalities among the entries, but it’s easy to see not enough data to draw any conclusions.

Conclusions

  • To positively confirm these results, we need to meet the minimum conditions for the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit test of at least 5 observations per region in High Sec and Class 5 wormholes. More data is needed.
  • The p-value results for both High Sec and Class 5 are way out of sync with the reminder of the findings, it seems unlikely the rejected result of the null hypothesis would be reversed with more data, but it is possible.
  • Even allowing for the minimum conditions of the Chi-Square test not being met, there seems to be enough data to say something odd seems to be going on Genesis, Molden Heath, and E-R00024.
  • If we assume that more data will positively confirm these results, then the majority of known wormhole type connections are equally random across their respective destinations, with the exception of our 3 mysterious regions.
  • We know there’s something special about the Genesis and E-R00024 regions, but about Molden Heath?

Final thoughts

Even though we don’t have enough data (have I said that enough 😉 ) to confirm or deny these findings, I find it odd that it appears we have enough to see the trend that for the most part, connections to other regions are random, with the exception of Genesis, Molden Heath, and E-R00024. It could very well be favoritism for Genesis, but what of the other two regions? If nothing else, this study has only added to the mystery of wormhole connections and ask more questions than what we started with. I think further observations, data gathering, and analysis are warranted. How, without any bias or favoritism going on, will be the challenge.

Links

  • W-Space – Why you not random? My blog post that really started Project “W”.
  • Wormhole Type Database – a list of known wormhole connections and where they lead.
  • Database of New Eden Systems – All K-Space and W-Space systems and their information.
  • Project “W” Phase I Data – The raw data cross referenced with the above databases. Open to anyone who wishes to do their own analysis, confirm my results, or do your own test. I’m open and welcome anyone to do your own research with this data, it’s not going to bother me. All I ask is give Project “W” credit for the data gathered.
  • Signal Cartel – Home of EvE Online’s premier exploration corp.

molden-heath-2

EVE Travel Rest Stop

“We travel, some of us forever, to seek other places, other lives, other souls.” – Anais Nin, Author

20.8.yc118 Jakanerva < Okomon Constellation < The Forge

EVE Travel Rest Stop

EVE Travel Rest Stop

Yesterday, The Evesploratory Society opened another Citadel called EVE Travel Rest Stop in honor of Mark726’s blog EVE Travel. This is not the first citadel opened by the Evesploratory Society, the first, called The Explorers Club, was opened for all explorers of New Eden and is located in orbit around Mista VI. As Mark Vulpine mentioned in his post about the opening of the new citadel, if you’ve been an explorer for any amount of time, then you’ve surely heard of Mark726 and EVE Travel. Mark726’s blog about sightseeing in New Eden is top notch, there are none that come close to the level of information, presentation, and professionalism. I’ve often said that his blog is the National Geographic of New Eden whereas mine is more like the Griswold Family Vacation. I interviewed him as part of my New Eden Explorers series which you can read more about him here, New Eden Explorers: Mark726.

Signal Cartel Hugs Fleet

Signal Cartel Hugs Fleet

The new citadel is located in the Jakanerva system in the Forge which is the home system of the Marcus Yeon monument that honors all explorers of New Eden. You can read more about that, you guessed it, here on EVE Travel’s blog. Of course, for the grand opening of the Citadel and ribbon cutting ceremony, the famous (or infamous) Signal Cartel Hugs Fleet was on hand gladly showering Mark726 with fireworks and snowballs of which I took Pioneer out for the festivities. How could I not? I’m just one of many who’ve been inspired by Mark726’s blog and wanted to show my support and appreciation for his hard work and dedication to the EVE community.

Congratulations to Mark726 and a job well done to Markus Vulpine on the opening of Evesploratory’s EVE Travel Rest Stop.

Mynxee's SuperHugger

Mynxee’s SuperHugger

As to where have I been lately? My wormhole exploration journey continues as I’ve recently passed 400 wormholes systems explored. Making that roughly 70% of all New Eden systems visited. My blogging has slowed due to real life stuff going on. I’m finally getting around to analyzing the data for Project “W”, which is where I’m trying to determine just how random finding wormholes systems are or not. I had a lot of Signal Cartel corp mates to help gather the data to possibly help answer the questions that came about from my blog post, W-Space – Why you not random? I’ve learned that I’m not the only one who’s wondered and made similiar observations. I hope to have a blog up on the results of that preliminary data gathering soon. So, I’m still here, quietly wandering around the New Eden cluster, jumping in when and where I can.

More images can be seen here.

Fly clever!

Hugs for the Professor

Hugs for the Professor

Most Mysterious Star in the Galaxy

“Extraordinary claims, require extraordinary evidence.” – Carl Sagan

12.6.yc118 J114430 < Constellation 306 < Region 30

It’s been some time since I’ve posted an update, real life has kept me busy of late, so it is what it is. My wormhole journey continues, having hit 374 systems making that 14% of W-Space and 69% of all of New Eden explored. Still no ship losses. Since my last post, “W-Space – Why you not random?”, I’ve reached out to my corpmates in Signal Cartel and began Project “W”, where a few of us are recording our W-Space travels for 3 months. Which will end this month, then I hope to see what the data can tell us, if anything, as far as patterns and/or relationships between various classes of wormholes beyond what we already know. We may or may not see anything and the biggest issue we may not be able to overcome is having enough data to see anything. I’ll hold any further speculation until we bring Project “W” to a close and the results are posted later.

Having enough data to see anything leads nicely to a real life science initiative that’s found its way on Kickstarter, the “Most Mysterious Star in the Galaxy”. If you’re reading this blog, then I’m assuming you’re a SciFi nut with an interest in exploration, and with that being the case, it just doesn’t get more interesting than this.

KIC8462852_4yearsOn my blog post “Planter Hunters in the ‘Verse”, I shared my interest in a project that’s analyzing Kepler telescope data to look for planets orbiting distant stars. Well, it seems that project has turned up an interesting one indeed. If you’ve not heard about KIC 8462852, you should check it out. In a nut shell, the thought process behind planet hunters is to look for the dip in light when a planet crosses in front of a star as observed from Earth. To put this in perspective just how extraordinary KIC 8462852, which is the designation for the star in question, if someone from a distant star studied our solar system when Jupiter passed in front of our sun, they would see the light from our sun dim by about 1% for a few hours. KIC 8462852 had long periods of no indication of dimming to periods of multiple events lasting weeks and 100’s of days, dimming the light from its sun by up to 20%.

WTF

WTF? Project image designed by artist, Frank Okay

What does it mean? That’s where more data is required and why this Kickstarter is looking for funding and there’s only a few days left for them to reach their goal. Unfortunately, Kepler is no longer able to go back and gather that data. The project astronomers are looking to buy telescope time to continue that information gathering. Lots of speculation has been going on from various natural causes to advanced alien civilizations, but no one really knows. I love their Project name of “Where’s the Flux?” WTF? I love scientist that have a sense of humor, but more than that, I’m glad to see them be open minded. Until more data is gathered, we have no hope of knowing and sure it’s true, even then it may not be figured out. I’m with the lead astronomer on this one with my guess is that it’s a natural phenomenon, but what if it’s not?

Grace@NewEdenCaroline posted this on Twitter and she could be right…
Jovians

If you love this kind of thing as much as I do, kick a few bucks in to the Kickstarter, there’s only a few more days left and they’ve not reached their goal yet. Who knows for sure what the reason is for this odd behavior is, I certainly don’t know, but what I do know is it’ll be extraordinary.

W-Space – Why you not random?

“Adventure is a state of mind and spirit.” – Jacqueline Cochran, American Aviation Pioneer

10.4.yc118 J233630 < Constellation 262 < Region 26

J112241

J112241

When I began my exploration of wormhole space just a little over three months ago, I had decided to base out of Thera. I felt it was a great place to start with random wormholes appearing daily. Being a member of Signal Cartel brings the benefit that most would be scouted already and taking advantage of that, I could quickly knockout several systems daily. Then I’d have to resort to scanning on my own which takes some time. With over 2,500 wormhole systems and assuming complete randomness with the connections, statistically, it should’ve been some time before I started finding systems that I’ve previously visited. At least that was the theory. But there’s something odd going on in wormhole space and it’s not the space affects that I’m talking about. The randomness of wormholes connections in each system doesn’t seem to be so random after all.

J102844 VI, Moon 1

J102844 VI, Moon 1

On my tenth day into exploring W-Space while based in Thera, I encountered my first duplicate system. I had only previously explored a total of 17 systems, so my chances of finding a duplicate system should have been less than 1%. Yes, I hear you and understand, less than 1% chance is still a chance, so with a raised eyebrow, I continued to base from Thera. But here’s the thing, as I proceeded to explore, duplicate systems kept coming up, beating the odds of finding them until finally at the end of March with only 10% of W-Space explored, my odds of seeing duplicates seemed closer to 30%. I decided to forgo basing in Thera and have been wandering ever since.

Now with my supposedly random wandering it gets more interesting. This last week, just the last few days really, has convinced me of the not so randomness of W-Space, that there’s a pattern to the chaos. One day, I hit system after system that I had previous explored, until finally I found one I had not. It was around ten systems, making that day’s odds over 90% likely to find systems I’ve already been to. What? How? It gets more interesting. The next day, I found system after system I had NOT been to yet, making that day’s odds over 90% likely to find systems I’ve NOT already been to. Very odd.

J115909

J115909

I don’t have an answer, so what am I proposing? I believe wormhole systems cluster together and connect more often than not to the same systems over and over again. Granted, I believe the clusters are rather large groups, maybe upwards to 600 or even 700 systems or so, but based on my experience so far, it would fit the odds I’ve been experiencing.

I’d be curious to hear from folks that actually have lived in a single wormhole system for a long period of time. Have you noticed or have you seen yourself connecting to the same systems over a period of several months? It’d be difficult to prove and take a lot of observation from multiple systems, but it is interesting never the less.

Fly Clever!
Katia

UPDATE: After some discussion on Twitter and further reflection, the more I’m beginning to think there may be a light year limit between systems and their ability to connect to each other via wormholes regardless if they’re K-Space or W-Space.

J170122

J170122

Reluctant Enthusiast, Part-Time Crusader, and a Half-Hearted Fanatic

“Do not burn yourselves out. Be as I am – a reluctant enthusiast….a part-time crusader, a half-hearted fanatic.” – Edward Abbey, Author

20.3.yc118 J115234 < Constellation 66 < Region 8

J155338

J155338

For some odd reason, I’ve been in the news recently. So, why all the attention this past week? I completed my K-Space exploration three and half months ago and started my W-Space exploration at the first of the year. One would think that with faster than light communications the news of my grand adventure would be clear across the cluster by now. Perhaps only bad news travels fast and good news is slower than light speed? Regardless, it’s nice to share my story, even as one who tends to be a bit shy and quiet such as myself. (Maybe that’s the real reason news has been slow to propagate!) Some call that humble and that’s part of it as well. I hate talking about myself, my accomplishments, and I certainly don’t boast about it. I’m a firm believer that your true character is not defined by the words you speak, but rather by the actions you take.

Tiberius StarGazer

Tiberius StarGazer

To be fair, I was contacted by Tiberius StarGazer, Editor in Chief of #EVE_NT, a couple of months ago, but with the CSM elections and other happenings going on around the New Eden cluster, my story took a little longer to be posted. No worries at all in that regard and completely understandable. I believe it is also because of their post that the other highlights have come about this last week. (On a side note, I was contacted the week after my completion of K-Space by the ISD, Interstellar Correspondence, for an interview, but they never followed up after my reply that I would be interested in sharing my story. Not sure what happened there. *shrug*) ((Side-Side Note, immediately after my announcement, CCP did post about it on their Facebook page as well as their week in review, which was really nice and very kind of them to do so.)) I just wanted to take this blog entry to shout out some folks and say thanks as well as highlight the news articles and post if you wanted to check them out for yourself.

Kenneth Endashi

Kenneth Endashi

Cista2

Cista2

First up, special thanks to Tiberius StarGazer who kicked it all off this week with the EVE-NT news article “Katia Sae – The Exploration of New Eden and Beyond”. Thanks so much for having an interest and giving me an opportunity to tell my story! No worries for taking time to get it out. 🙂 Next up fellow corpmate and explorer Kenneth Endashi who posted on the EVE Online Forums “Meet Katia Sae – who explored and photographed known space. All of it.” Nothing is greater or more humbling than being recognized by your peers. Thanks Kenneth and thanks to those who posted replies! Especially Rain6637 who posted a great spin on the Star Trek intro, lol. I’ll post it below. Lastly and perhaps the most surprising was from Cista2, who tipped off Massively so they posted “EVE Online player spends three years visiting every system” about my journey that referenced the EVE-NT article. That was very nice to see and the comments posted by the readers were for the most part pleasant to read. 😉

Mynxee

Mynxee

Finally, special thanks to Mynxee, who always goes out of her way to encourage and support all of us in Signal Cartel, no matter how we choose to explore the cluster. In my case, she’s always posting encouraging replies and the medal I was awarded for my endeavor (which I love, btw!) to news articles and post that talk about my journey and in the case of CCP’s EVE Online Facebook page a while back, defending me. 🙂 I couldn’t ask more of my CEO, let alone a friend. It’s a pleasure to serve such a great corp and I do mean that. Their encouragement and support go a long way to keep me going. I couldn’t do it without them as well as others who’ve encouraged me along the way. So, thanks to all who have taken a moment to read, comment, and send emails. You all keep this half-hearted fanatic going.

Rain6637

Rain6637

Jove space: the final frontier.
These are the systems visited by the explorer Katia Sae.
Her ongoing mission: to photograph all known systems,
to seek out new sights and new warpable objects.
To boldly go where no capsuleer has gone before without being tossed out of the AT.

– Rain6637

J115026

J115026

Are we there yet?

“Always concentrate on how far you’ve come, rather than how far you have left to go.” – Unknown

6.3.yc118 J163701 < Constellation 248 < Region 25

J011790

J011790

Two hundred wormhole systems explored and a couple of thousand to go. Several folks have asked me: what is my goal, how many wormhole systems per day was I hoping to explore. My reply was honest, I had no goal per se. However, I was hoping to keep my previous pace from known space which was 6 to 8 systems per day on average. With two months and 200 systems, my pace has been steady, but it’s half of what I had achieved before. Well what does that mean? Instead of taking a year at the least to find the 2,604 wormhole systems I need to explore, it’s looking like at a minimum of two years and that’s “IF” I find all the systems I need to when I need to and keep my current pace of 3 to 4 a day. That’s unlikely, as I’m already hitting a fair number of duplicate systems I’ve been to already.

What’s really odd is, I’ve only explored 8% of wormhole space, but this last week, it seems my odds of finding a system I’ve already been to has been closer to 30%. One would think I should be encountering about 1 in 10, but it’s been closer to 3 or 4 in 10. There must be something to that, something strange. It does seem I find systems clustered together and not by constellation or region. Once I find 1 I’ve been to, I find many. By the same token, when I find 1 I’ve not been to, I find similar. Groups and clusters… odd and not what I was expecting.

J002625

J002625

Something else too and this should come as no surprise, but it was pleasant to see, like known space and the familiar background nebulas found in each region, the same can be said of wormhole space. I’m sure that’s what played into the classifications of them, it’s an easy means to identify them. In a future blog entry, I’ll post them up. There are still some regions I’ve not found yet and I’d like a chance to include them as well. If you’re curious, you can check them out here.

I’ve heard it said that slow and steady wins the race, but this isn’t a race nor are there any prizes. I’ll just keep at it to appease the explorer within me. Fly clever!

J004283 VII

J004283 VII

Celebrations

“I haven’t been everywhere, but it’s on my list.” – Susan Sontag, Writer/Filmmaker

31.1.yc118 J162007 < Constellation 262 < Region 26

SC Home 5

Signal Cartel Tower

On 20.1.yc118 (January 20th, 2016), Signal Cartel had its first birthday and today, I celebrate my 1 year anniversary as a Signaleer. What an amazing year it has been. The corporation grew quickly, far faster than I would have ever thought. I think when I joined, we had less than 10 capsuleers and today the corp stands at 740+ members which is where we’ve been holding steady at for a while now. Like Mynxee, whom I’ve heard comment along the same lines, I never would have dreamed there’d be that many explorers of New Eden that would join up in a corp together. For the most part, exploration is very much a solo’ers endeavor. We’ve had many to come and go, which is to be expected and I’m honored to be among 7 of us that are celebrating our first year in the corp this month.

So, why or what is it that draws capsuleers to Signal Cartel? I can only speak for myself, but I do believe in the beginning it was the credo that spoke to many of us. We also had EvE-Scout’s solid reputation with the Thera scouting service as well as Mynxee’s reputation as an experienced and solid corporation CEO. (Albeit, a former but now reformed pirate with an explorer’s heart! *hugs*) SC Home IIIt was a year ago I posted “Can’t stop the Signal”, which has become our unofficial motto, and it speaks to what I saw in the corp’s potential and why I joined. Just the day before, Mynxee posted “Another Exciting Sandcastle”. It certainly has been and continues to be! Nothing has changed at all and I couldn’t be any happier with my decision and it’s such a pleasure to see so many that share the same heart as I.

Today, I believe it’s our size and reputation as a home to explorers that draws others to us. That’s not a problem per say, but it does present challenges from some (not all) of our newer members that question our credo whom you can tell just glanced over it. I’m glad to see our leadership has held firm to our core beliefs and have sought to keep our reputation as neutral explorers with integrity as our primary goal, rather than bending the credo to make everyone happy. It tells me we are a corp that seeks like-minded quality members and not a corp that’s about quantity. That’s not to say to those members who have left are not quality members, far from it. It simply means our home was not in tune with their heart and they have moved on to find their own home.

SC Home 2

Hugs delivered to Dorian Reu

This last year for me personally, I’ve seen the conclusion of my K-Space exploration and the beginning of wormhole space. I’m now just over 100 wormholes explored, including Signal Cartel’s home system of Thera as well as our wormhole system that our POS is located, which I’ll not name. Special shout-out and thanks to Dorian Reu, who scouted me into our POS home system and gave me the tour. Today’s images are from there.

Fly clever and here’s to another great year in Signal Cartel! If you’re interested in joining, here’s how. Be sure to read the Credo. 😉

SC Home 4

Dorian Reu’s Stratios and Wanderer